2024 Bristol Bay Forecasts from ADFG & UW AK Salmon Program

scroll down for recordings from both presentations-


Recorded: Thursday, April 18 at 3pm AK time

View presentations from Alaska Department of Fish and Game biologists and the Bristol Bay Science and Research Institute on the 2024 Bristol Bay forecast. The ADFG forecast for inshore sockeye salmon run is forecasted to be approximately 37.9 million fish and based on the forecasted run size to each district and accounting for escapement there is a potential inshore surplus of 25.0 million sockeye salmon.

Presentations to Include:

  • Introduction to the forecast for 2024 & Questions - Stacy Vega, ADF&G

  • Management Outlook for the East Side Fisheries & Questions - Aaron Tiernan and/or Travis Elison, ADF&G

  • Management Outlook for West Side Fisheries & Questions - Tim Sands, ADF&G

  • Test Fishery Overview and 2024 Plan - Jordan Head, BBSRI


Recorded: Thursday, March 21st at 3:45 Alaska Time

A meeting for the Bristol Bay fleet: Bristol Bay's 2024 sockeye forecast is 44.9 million.  Forty-five million sockeye is a relatively strong forecast, but would be one of the smallest total sockeye returns for Bristol Bay of the last decade.  View the recording for the information that goes into the forecasts, including the current  climate conditions and predictions, as well as, salt water surveys that generate a multi-year outlook of salmon production.

  • 2024 Bristol Bay Forecast review - Chris Boatright, U.Washington - Alaska Salmon Program

  • Use of E. Bering Sea surface trawl survey data to inform Bristol Bay forecasts - Curry Cunningham, U. AK-Fairbanks - Fisheries & Ocean Sci.

  • State of the climate N. Pacific and Bering Sea - Daniel Schindler, U.Washington -  Alaska Salmon Program

  • Bristol Bay Preliminary Forecast - Daniel Schindler, U.Washington -  Alaska Salmon Program

  • Review of Data for inseason forecasting, abundance, and stock composition - Ray Hilborn, U.Washington -  Alaska Salmon Program


Written forecasts and outlook linked here
ADF&G 2024 Bristol Bay Forecast - LINK
ADF&G 2024 Season Outlook - LINK
UW Alaska Salmon Programs’ 2024 Bristol Bay Forecast - LINK
Statewide: Run Forecasts and Harvest Projections for 2024 Alaska
Salmon Fisheries and Review of the 2023 Season - LINK